The Chancellor faces a growing fiscal challenge in the budget in November. With estimates of a £20 billion shortfall in public finances, avoiding tax rises in areas beyond Income Tax, NI, and VAT (as pledged in the Labour manifesto) may be difficult.
Area | What We Know | What is Speculated or Under Review |
ISAs (Individual Savings Accounts) | The annual ISA allowance for 2025-26 remains £20,000 for adults. | There is speculation of reducing the cash ISA portion or limiting the distinction between Cash vs Stocks & Shares ISA allocations. |
Pensions & Pension Reliefs | From 6 April 2027, most unused defined contribution (DC) pensions will be brought into the inheritance tax (IHT) net. | Possible changes being discussed include lowering the tax-free lump sum (Pension Commencement Lump Sum), limiting or standardising pension tax relief (particularly for higher rate taxpayers). |
Inheritance Tax (IHT) | Unused pension funds to be treated as part of the estate for IHT purposes from April 2027. Death in service benefits from registered pension schemes will be out of scope from 6 April 2027. | Potential changes include tightening lifetime gifting rules (adding caps or extensions to the exemption period), revising the taper relief, adjusting property-related reliefs. |
Capital Gains Tax (CGT) | No confirmed announcements yet for 2025, but changes are under speculation. | Possibilities include higher CGT rates for certain assets (e.g., second homes), lower CGT annual exemption, aligning CGT more closely with Income Tax. |
Where changes are speculative, we factor these into longer-term “what if” scenarios rather than making drastic moves prematurely. Our focus is on balancing growth, tax efficiency, and risk, with clear gap analysis (what’s required vs what’s likely) so clients know where they stand whatever the Budget brings.
The 2025 Autumn Budget is shaping up to bring real changes — some confirmed, others still under discussion. While Income Tax, NI, and VAT are politically sensitive and ostensibly protected, other areas like pensions, ISA rules, IHT, CGT and gifting are under active consideration.
Let Thrive Financial Planning review your plans with you, running both current and potential future rules, to protect your income, estate, and legacy.